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Financial review
Risk factors

This document contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act 1995 with respect to certain of the Group’s plans and its current goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition and performance. The Group may also make forward-looking statements in other written materials, including other documents filed with or furnished to the SEC. In addition, the Group’s senior management may make forward-looking statements orally to analysts, investors, representatives of the media and others. In particular, among other statements, certain statements in the Financial Review and Business Description with regard to management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on equity, risk management, and competition are forward looking in nature.

By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. The Group’s actual future results may differ materially from those set out in the Group’s forward-looking statements. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, operational, legal, market, liquidity, credit and other risks set out in Risk management - overview and Competition. The discussion in this report sets forth certain other risks and uncertainties that the Group believes could cause its actual future results to differ materially from expected results. However, other factors could also adversely affect the Group’s results and the reader should not consider the factors discussed in this report to be a complete set of all potential risks or uncertainties.

Business conditions and general economy
The profitability of the Group’s businesses could be adversely affected by a worsening of general economic conditions in the UK or elsewhere as well as by foreign and domestic trading market conditions. Such factors could also adversely affect the credit quality of the Group’s on-balance sheet and off-balance sheet assets. An economic downturn or significantly higher interest rates could increase the risk that a greater number of the Group’s customers would default on their loans or other obligations to the Group, or would refrain from seeking additional borrowing.

Government policies and economic controls
The Group’s businesses and earnings are also affected by the fiscal or other policies that are adopted by various regulatory authorities of the UK, foreign governments and international agencies. The nature and impact of future changes in such policies are not predictable and are beyond the Group’s control.

The UK Competition Commission is conducting an enquiry into the supply of banking services by clearing banks to small and medium sized enterprises and is due to report in June 2001. Provisional findings as to the existence of any monopoly situation and any public interest issues arising may be made during March 2001 but no final conclusions affecting Barclays will be made before the Commission completes its report.

Credit risk
The Group’s provisions for credit losses provides for risks of losses inherent in loans and advances. Estimating potential losses is inherently uncertain and depends on many factors, including general economic conditions, rating migration, structural changes within industries that alter competitive positions, and other external factors such as legal and regulatory requirements.